
Each matchup in as few words as possible (testing my usually loquacious manner). It's fun because, since these are going up early Thursday morning, they'll almost immediately be proved wrong...rather than that weak ish on ESPN, where the analysts get to deliver their picks so early that we've already forgotten them.
EASTUNC over Mt. St. Mary's: For your play-in win? A de facto home game against #1 overall seed.
Arkansas over Indiana: IU checked out when Kelvin Sampson cleared out his office.
George Mason over ND: Switch the coaches and it's a squash for Irish. But Larranaga's boys are ready...again.
Wazzu over Winthrop: Could go the other way in an upset special, but Tony Bennett has become too good a coach to lose in the first round.
OU over St. Joe's: Can't help but feel that St. Joe's just has Xavier's number, rather than having a team ready to make noise in the tourney. OU's not much better, though.
Louisville over Boise St.: Too much talent for Pitino's squad.
So. Alabama over Butler: I seem to recall a similar team that got hated on hardcore for being one of the last at-large teams in, after an impressive regular season. Oh right, it was the 2006 George Mason Colonials.
Tennessee over American: No contest, plus I hear American is one of the least fun universities on the planet. So there's that.
MIDWESTKU over Portland St.: In lieu of justification, I give you the claim from their homepage that Portland State is Oregon's only urban university.
Kent St. over UNLV: No repeat for the Rebs this year. Whatup Al Fisher?!
Clemson over Villanofun: I'm terrified by this game.
Vandy over Siena: Just barely and because it's everyone's massive upset the other way around.
USC over KSU: Hardy har, Committee. We're all collectively not laughing at your little joke.
Wisco over Cal-State Fullerton: Omaha has to sacrifice two hours watching this stinker to get the above matchup.
Davidson over Gonzaga: Whoever wins could go Elite 8. No confidence at all in this pick.
Georgetown over UMBC: UMBC should be calling on the famous faces from
The Wire to come show their support (no, I won't let the show die...ever).
SOUTH
Memphis over UT-A: If any Memphis players get hurt as they all desperately try to get on Sportscenter with their showboating...I'll be sad for my bracket but deeply content for karma.
Miss. State over Oregon: Speaking of karma, this game has to go to MSU. They played hard all season and Oregon took the season off to prepare for the tourney. The "lucky to get in" teams of that nature deserve to be beaten on Bryce Drew buzzer beaters.
East Lansing Felons over Temple: I hate this MSU team. I hated their preseason hype and I hate how much talent they're squandering. I know it's blasphemy to speak badly of Izzo, but how does homie not get more out of this team?! Close win, regardless.
Pitt over ORU: I see shades of A&M over Cuse after the McNamara Tourney two years ago. Terrified of this pick, too.
Marquette over UK: Kentucky has no business in this tournament. If the names on their jerseys said anything else, Ashley Judd would be watching the NIT. Instead, she'll watch Billy Gillespie implode.
Stanford over Cornell: We
get it. They're both smart schools. If I hear one more joke about SAT test scores, I'm slicing the back of the Lopez twins' knees.
Saint Mary's over Miami: She's a saint; one of her squads has to press on.
Texas over Austin Peay: Austin Peay is in Tennessee, not Texas. Who knew?
WESTUCLA over Miss. Valley St.: At least MVS can say that they're two best football exports (Deacon Jones & Jerry Rice) are better than any two UCLA can hold up.
BYU over Texas A&M: This game is the reason DeAndre Jordan will suck if he goes pro after this season. He doesn't know how to take over in the post; he needs more college seasoning in "being the man" before he's ready.
Drake over WKU: Why is everyone ready to throw Drake under the bus? MVC teams have wrecked shit over the past five years, becoming the mid-major conference no one wants to play. So Drake kills it this year, but can't handle the trey-happy Hilltoppers? I got the memo about Courtney Lee being NBA-good...but so is Mike Beasley and he's one-and-done, too.
UConn over San Diego: Calhoun has never lost a first round game at UConn. This group won't be the first, despite popular (see: stupid) opinion.
Purdue over Baylor: Yes, Big 10 hoops sucks. But Purdue plays great when they stick together as a team. And
COLORADO?! I love that Baylor has gotten past its tragic recent history, that Big 12 Tourney showing was pitiful.
Xavier over Georgia: Sucky draw for the Bulldogs. Yes, I know they barely have a winning record, but give them a 12-seed against MSU and a fighter's chance. That said, I could see them gut out one more win on this run. It would screw me royally, but if you Dawgs do...I ain't mad atcha.
WVU over Arizona: I'm sick of the non-story that is this year's Arizona basketball team. It was injuries instead of lack of effort, but they deserve the same treatment as fellow underachievers Oregon.
Duke over Belmont: At least the Bruins can go home knowing their coach is more interested in them than making commercials.
ZING!
ROUND OF 32UNC over Arkansas: If only they were in the Little Rock site...
George Mason over Wazzu:
Very slow-paced game works for both squads. The magic men of two years past roll onward in a squaker that threatens to be in the low 50's (if that).
Louisville over Oklahoma: ARGH! I want to take Capel's Sooners, but when your two reliable post men are hurt (Griffin's dual knee issues, Longar Longar's broken leg), a second game in three days is going to be a dagger. Close game based on Capel's coaching and OU's heart, but sadly, that rat Pitino sneaks through.
Tennessee over So. Alabama: The Jaguars are making me uneasy here, but I don't think they have the firepower to hang with Tennessee.
KU over Kent St.: The wrong second round matchup could have been disastrous for the Jayhawks. This ain't it.
Clemson over Vanderbilt: Seed inflation warning! Too many of the Commodores' wins took place in that bizarrely-aligned gym of theirs. I will enjoy Shan Foster's swan song, though.
Wisco over USC: I watched Wisco play a lot this year. They're more complete than last years team because they don't stand around and watch Tucker on offense anymore. Their defense will easily frustrate the Trojan youngsters AND ridiculously-outmatched-here Tim Floyd. Mayo gets disinterested due to Badger defense and starts chucking.
Georgetown over Davidson: If Stephen Curry could clone himself, Davidson would take this one. But Sapp will body him and when nobody else steps up, the Hoyas win a close one.
Memphis over Miss. St.: Jamont Gordon on whoever the hell he has to guard will be a
great matchup. The most narrow escape for a one seed, methinks.
Pitt over East Lansing Felons: In the win over Georgetown, Pitt proved they can play fantastic grind-it-out basketball. Defensive lapses from the ADD Spartans will do them in early in the second half.
Marquette over Stanford: I'm blatantly, flagrantly ignoring the presence of the Lopez twins here. No, Marquette has no answer for them inside, but that doesn't matter if the guards can't get them the ball. McNeal & James might be the best defensive backcourt in the country; a late big-shot from one of the two wins it.
Texas over St. Mary's: Against a lesser two seed like Duke or Georgetown, the Gaels could win. But the lights-out backcourt shooting will be too much. Rick Barnes will do his best to mismanage this game, but fail.
UCLA over BYU: Fighting Mormons get a raw deal with this seed, considering they'd be a great shot to knock off Duke if they were the 7-seed. Bruins go relatively unscathed to second weekend.
Drake over UConn: The disciplined Drake attack will get to UConn in a way that they haven't seen this season. The seniorless Huskies go down in a bigger upset than the seedings reflect.
Xavier over Purdue: Similar deal here. Evenly dispersed Xavier offense takes away from the strong individual defense many of the Boilermakers have to offer. Lavender blowing by his man and dishing will become a constant theme.
WVU over Duke: We've all heard that this isn't Coach K's most athletic team. This game will make it eerily noticeable, as Beilein's own unheralded recruits take down this group of McDonald's All-Americans. Irony? Huggins uses kids he didn't recruit to break his second-round curse.
SWEET 16
UNC over George Mason: The Heels hike
all the way to Charlotte. Mason magic ends, but not without a fight (possibly literally, between Will Thomas & Psycho T). Folarin Campbell's slashing ability will put the fear of God in Carolina faithful for the next round.
Tennessee over Louisville: After two good matchups, the Cardinals finally get tested and can't live up to the hype. Bruce Pearl's dudes show Edgar Sosa how to shoot a tasty J.
KU over Clemson: Finally on the other side of a free throw debacle, the Jayhawks watch Clemson fall apart on the line. KU wins a tight one.
Wisco over Georgetown: Do NOT forget two things: 1) Wisconsinites are crazy woodland dwellers; they have no joy but watching the Badgers and will come out in droves. This will be a heavily Wisco crowd. 2) Both of these teams like to slow the ball down, but Georgetown has proved to be susceptible when you fight fire with fire (i.e. Pitt loss in the Big East tourney). Bo Ryan's team has been steady against almost all game plans.
Memphis over Pitt: Rough draw for Pitt to get a four seed, but that'll happen when you founder in the stretch before the conference tourney. Could be the game of the tourney, but I'll go with the Tigers as overtime winners.
Texas over Marquette: After surviving an attack on their biggest weakness, the Golden Eagles face Abrams and Augustin, two great guards. With a formula similar to his own, Tom Crean watches his team lose a game that starts out as defensive struggle, but becomes a transition & 3-point clinic. If it happens, it'll be an amazing game.
UCLA over Drake: One of the few teams in the field that Drake just can't handle. Too many weapons for the Brunos. Wooden shows up to big up Emmenacker for his hard work.
Xavier over WVU: For the third time this tourney, no one has an answer for the balanced attack of the X Men. It almost backfires when the game gets close and no one knows who should take the big shot, but saavy frontcourt play neutralizes Joe Alexander just enough to move on.
ELITE 8Tennessee over UNC: But, like the early season loss at home to Duke, things come unhinged. Hot shooting from the orange puts them down early and turnovers keep them down. Tyler Smith posterizes somebody just because he feels like it.
Wisconsin over KU: A relative shocker, the Badgers continue to play hardnose defense and get great possessions. KU matches them for most of the game, but then returns to bad habits when the D gets physical. The Bohannon Cannon gets hot from 3, making the difference.
Memphis over Texas: Another "home team" loses in my mind's eye. I think Calipari looks his team in the eye and tells them to go out and hit the Longhorns like it's spring practice. After knocking down the two star guards a couple times, Memphis will ramp up the energy and steal a win in the waning seconds.
UCLA over Xavier: Unfortunately for Xavier, they run into a team with a Xavier-esuqe bevvy of weapons. Love, Collison, Westbrook, and a (please God be healthy) Mbah a Moute contain the Musketeers, ending the pseudo-Cinderella run.
FINAL 4Tennessee over Wisconsin: With a great deal of Orange in the crowd, the Badgers stick to their guns. It almost works, except when the outside shooting picks up and the stingy defense gets just porous enough to allow Tennessee's athletes to do their thang.
UCLA over Memphis: The "better" game of the two comes down to Howland beating Calipari in a coaching matchup. On the floor is the greatest collection of talent the college game has seen in years, but the minds on the side decide it, as UCLA's deliberate offense keeps Memphis out of the running game.
THE NATTYUCLA over Tennessee: I can't imagine how this wouldn't be a classic game. Maybe the Vols don't have quite the size to hang, but Smith & Lofton will still do their damage. Free-throw shooting and coaching, as usual, are big factors. Pearl knows Howland is the better coach, but he still comes close. Darren Collison has the MOP trophy handed to him by a recovered John Wooden.